Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.6%

TOR: 48.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.27

TOR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 55%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs TOR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	CGY 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	CGY
2025-10-28	TOR 4 - 3 CGY	TOR	TOR
2025-03-17	TOR 6 - 2 CGY	TOR	TOR
2025-02-04	CGY 3 - 6 TOR	TOR	CGY
2024-01-18	CGY 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0