Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-02-03 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 40.5%

PIT: 59.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.59

PIT: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 4.5

Over 5.5: 34%

Over 6.5: 23%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NYI at home vs PIT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	NYI
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	NYI

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.6 - 2.9