Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)

Win Probability

FLA: 58.4%

BOS: 41.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.34

BOS: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	1.30
1	BOS	16	1	1.18
2	FLA	16	1	1.58
2	BOS	15	0	1.46
3	FLA	10	0	0.47
3	BOS	11	1	0.99
4	FLA	4	0	0.39
4	BOS	3	0	0.23
5	FLA	4	2	1.85
5	BOS	3	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4