Chicago Blackhawks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 55.9%

CHI: 44.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.21

CHI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	CBJ	CHI
Season SV%	0.909	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	21	21	0	100.0%	2.61	0	2.61
CHI	Spencer Knight	20	16	4	80.0%	3.00	4	-1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	1	0.85
1	CHI	9	0	0.33
2	CBJ	7	1	0.46
2	CHI	20	0	1.52
3	CBJ	12	2	1.69
3	CHI	14	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown