San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-02-04 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 74.8%
SJS: 25.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.59
SJS: 2.19
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | COL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs SJS: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4 - 2 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6 - 0 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3 - 2 COL | SJS | COL |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7 - 3 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 74.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.