Detroit Red Wings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

UTA: 65.7%

DET: 34.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.36

DET: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs DET: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	UTA 4 - 1 DET	UTA	UTA
2025-12-17	DET 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-24	UTA 1 - 5 DET	DET	UTA
2025-03-06	DET 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	16	1	1.34
1	DET	12	0	0.74
2	UTA	12	0	0.92
2	DET	20	0	1.57
3	UTA	12	2	1.96
3	DET	21	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7