Detroit Red Wings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 62.2%

DET: 37.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.50

DET: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	UTA	DET
Season SV%	0.895	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	30	29	1	96.7%	3.63	1	2.63
DET	John Gibson	25	21	4	84.0%	4.21	3	0.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs DET: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	UTA 4 - 1 DET	UTA	UTA
2025-12-17	DET 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-24	UTA 1 - 5 DET	DET	UTA
2025-03-06	DET 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	16	1	1.34
1	DET	12	0	0.74
2	UTA	12	0	0.92
2	DET	20	0	1.57
3	UTA	12	2	1.96
3	DET	21	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown