St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-02-04 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 67.7%
STL: 32.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.37
STL: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | DAL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.874 | 0.856 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • DAL at home vs STL: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | DAL 5 - 4 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | STL |
| 2026-01-23 | DAL 3 - 2 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3 - 1 DAL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-02 | DAL 6 - 3 STL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:33 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:29 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:57 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:55 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:31 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:05 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9