Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 49.6%

EDM: 50.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.79

EDM: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 35%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs EDM: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CGY 4 - 3 EDM	CGY	EDM
2025-12-27	CGY 3 - 2 EDM	CGY	CGY
2025-12-23	EDM 5 - 1 CGY	EDM	EDM
2025-10-08	EDM 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-03-29	EDM 3 - 2 CGY	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0