Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 64.7%

VAN: 35.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.26

VAN: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	11	0	0.84
1	VAN	12	0	0.39
2	VGK	15	2	1.59
2	VAN	12	0	0.66
3	VGK	18	1	1.32
3	VAN	9	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5