Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 75.8%

SEA: 24.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.53

SEA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	LAK	SEA
Season SV%	0.913	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	23	19	4	82.6%	2.63	1	-1.37
SEA	Joey Daccord	27	25	2	92.6%	2.48	1	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • LAK at home vs SEA: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	SEA
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.54
1	SEA	11	0	0.83
2	LAK	18	1	1.22
2	SEA	8	0	0.56
3	LAK	14	0	0.72
3	SEA	13	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown