New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-02-05 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 61.5%
NYI: 38.5%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.39
NYI: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | NJD | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.808 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NJD at home vs NYI: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NJD 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2026-01-06 | NYI 9 - 0 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-23 | NYI 2 - 1 NJD | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-10 | NJD 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NJD |
| 2025-04-13 | NJD 0 - 1 NYI | NYI | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:26 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:30 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:36 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:33 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8