New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.3%

NYI: 38.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.08

NYI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NJD at home vs NYI: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.52
1	NYI	9	1	0.77
2	NJD	19	0	1.27
2	NYI	8	1	0.45
3	NJD	8	0	0.38
3	NYI	11	2	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9