Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 44.1%

CAR: 55.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.08

CAR: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	NYR	CAR
Season SV%	0.924	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.11	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	43	41	2	95.3%	4.08	2	2.08
CAR	Brandon Bussi	16	16	0	100.0%	1.68	1	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	1	0.77
1	CAR	14	0	0.79
2	NYR	7	0	0.41
2	CAR	31	1	2.00
3	NYR	9	0	0.50
3	CAR	18	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown