Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2026-02-05 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 43.5%
OTT: 56.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.52
OTT: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 3.9
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 17%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | PHI | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs OTT: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | PHI 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-08 | PHI 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-23 | OTT 2 - 1 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-04-13 | OTT 4 - 3 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-11 | PHI 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.5 - 2.8
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