Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 41.6%

OTT: 58.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.95

OTT: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs OTT: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	PHI 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-11-08	PHI 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-23	OTT 2 - 1 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-04-13	OTT 4 - 3 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-03-11	PHI 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	8	0	0.26
1	OTT	15	1	0.97
2	PHI	14	0	0.74
2	OTT	17	2	1.52
3	PHI	14	0	0.56
3	OTT	5	0	0.13
4	PHI	1	0	0.10
4	OTT	2	1	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6