Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-02-05 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 61.2%
NSH: 38.8%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.59
NSH: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | WSH 4 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-01-11 | NSH 3 - 2 WSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-11 | NSH 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-06 | WSH 3 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-30 | WSH 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:48 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 04:15 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 17:40 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:42 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 13:11 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:17 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1