Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 55.7%

LAK: 44.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.43

LAK: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	VGK	LAK
Season SV%	0.888	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.73	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	33	32	1	97.0%	3.28	4	2.28
LAK	Anton Forsberg	22	18	4	81.8%	2.51	1	-1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • VGK at home vs LAK: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	VGK 2 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	0	1.20
1	LAK	17	3	1.45
2	VGK	7	0	0.58
2	LAK	18	1	1.08
3	VGK	9	1	0.73
3	LAK	17	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown