Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-02-05 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 65.5%
LAK: 34.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.53
LAK: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | VGK | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VGK at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 11:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 13:29 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 13:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 15:03 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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