Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-02-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DAL: 66.7%

SEA: 33.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.22

SEA: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL

Casey DeSmith - 9-2-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	DAL	SEA
Season SV%	0.912	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.44	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Casey DeSmith	19	18	1	94.7%	2.93	2	1.93
SEA	Joey Daccord	32	28	4	87.5%	3.71	3	-0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DAL at home vs SEA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	0.95
1	SEA	9	1	0.75
2	DAL	20	1	1.47
2	SEA	9	1	0.89
3	DAL	16	1	1.30
3	SEA	17	0	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown