Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-02-25 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

UTA: 48.6%

COL: 51.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.30

COL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	0	0.76
1	COL	14	2	1.05
2	UTA	14	0	1.25
2	COL	20	2	1.38
3	UTA	19	0	1.11
3	COL	5	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1