Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-02-25 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 58.7%
VGK: 41.3%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.33
VGK: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | LAK | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:31 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 10:59 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 14:44 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:54 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:59 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:26 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:21 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 11:16 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:07 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8