Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-02-25 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 51.3%

VGK: 48.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.19

VGK: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.72
1	VGK	15	0	0.80
2	LAK	6	0	0.38
2	VGK	16	0	0.69
3	LAK	13	0	0.85
3	VGK	18	2	2.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1