Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2026-02-25 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 45.4%
EDM: 54.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.31
EDM: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | ANA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.852 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | ANA | ||
| 2026-04-30 | ANA 5 - 2 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-28 | EDM 4 - 1 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-04-26 | ANA 4 - 3 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-24 | ANA 7 - 4 EDM | ANA | ANA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 6 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
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