Columbus Blue Jackets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 54.0%

CBJ: 46.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.63

CBJ: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	BOS	CBJ
Season SV%	0.882	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.60	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	40	38	2	95.0%	4.39	2	2.39
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	23	19	4	82.6%	3.40	2	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	16	0	0.96
1	CBJ	28	0	2.38
2	BOS	11	0	0.84
2	CBJ	12	0	0.77
3	BOS	15	2	1.60
3	CBJ	15	2	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown