Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 71.1%

DET: 28.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.46

DET: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	OTT
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7