Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-02-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 85.3%
TOR: 14.7%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.55
TOR: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | FLA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • FLA at home vs TOR: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | TOR 2 - 6 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-26 | FLA 5 - 1 TOR | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | FLA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 85.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.