New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PIT: 81.1%

NJD: 18.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.39

NJD: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	PIT	NJD
Season SV%	0.886	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.20	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Arturs Silovs	30	29	1	96.7%	3.65	3	2.65
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	37	33	4	89.2%	4.96	5	0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	14	1	1.36
1	NJD	14	0	0.99
2	PIT	18	2	1.81
2	NJD	19	2	1.82
3	PIT	17	2	1.78
3	NJD	18	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown