Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-02-26 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 59.5%
CGY: 40.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.22
CGY: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | SJS 1 - 4 CGY | CGY | SJS |
| 2026-01-31 | CGY 3 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-12-16 | SJS 6 - 3 CGY | SJS | CGY |
| 2025-11-13 | CGY 2 - 0 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-13 | CGY 5 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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