Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-02-27 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 49.5%

BUF: 50.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.38

BUF: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	1	1.11
1	BUF	19	0	0.98
2	FLA	17	2	1.29
2	BUF	22	3	2.25
3	FLA	15	1	2.12
3	BUF	12	3	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3