Minnesota Wild at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-02-27 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 65.8%

MIN: 34.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.34

MIN: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	UTA	MIN
Season SV%	0.895	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	23	21	2	91.3%	2.99	0	0.99
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	37	32	5	86.5%	4.39	4	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-01-23	MIN 0 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	2	1.61
1	MIN	13	0	1.02
2	UTA	15	1	1.39
2	MIN	12	0	1.02
3	UTA	14	1	1.40
3	MIN	12	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown