Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-02-27 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 53.9%

WPG: 46.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.40

WPG: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	ANA	WPG
Season SV%	0.888	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	29	4	87.9%	4.86	6	0.86
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	40	35	5	87.5%	5.75	5	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ANA at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	1	0.93
1	WPG	14	2	1.53
2	ANA	24	1	1.92
2	WPG	18	2	1.56
3	ANA	18	2	1.77
3	WPG	18	2	1.49
4	ANA	6	1	1.12
4	WPG	4	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9