Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

PHI: 55.6%

BOS: 44.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.24

BOS: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.66
1	BOS	11	0	0.63
2	PHI	11	1	1.01
2	BOS	19	2	1.35
3	PHI	8	2	1.32
3	BOS	11	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5