Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 48.3%

EDM: 51.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.82

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 32%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0