Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

COL: 75.2%

CHI: 24.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.22

CHI: 1.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	23	0	1.35
1	CHI	9	0	0.66
2	COL	20	1	1.59
2	CHI	7	0	0.34
3	COL	12	2	1.32
3	CHI	11	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.0