Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CAR: 70.9%

DET: 29.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.86

DET: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs DET: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	1	1.26
1	DET	7	1	0.39
2	CAR	15	2	1.16
2	DET	21	1	1.74
3	CAR	15	0	0.98
3	DET	7	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.9 - 2.4