New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 56.9%

NJD: 43.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.17

NJD: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs NJD: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	0.73
1	NJD	16	0	0.71
2	STL	9	0	0.24
2	NJD	24	1	2.00
3	STL	15	1	0.87
3	NJD	8	3	1.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0