Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 66.5%

CGY: 33.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.29

CGY: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Stat	LAK	CGY
Season SV%	0.901	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.82

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	29	29	0	100.0%	2.88	1	2.88
CGY	Dustin Wolf	37	35	2	94.6%	3.67	2	1.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	0	0.76
1	CGY	18	0	1.16
2	LAK	23	0	1.44
2	CGY	15	1	1.05
3	LAK	15	2	1.47
3	CGY	13	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown