Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 52.5%

NSH: 47.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.41

NSH: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • DAL at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	11	1	1.06
1	NSH	13	1	1.44
2	DAL	14	2	1.02
2	NSH	7	0	0.37
3	DAL	13	1	0.89
3	NSH	13	1	0.94
4	DAL	2	1	0.44
4	NSH	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0