Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-02-28 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 56.9%

VAN: 43.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.03

VAN: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	SEA	VAN
Season SV%	0.903	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	28	27	1	96.4%	3.13	3	2.13
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	25	20	5	80.0%	4.53	3	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs VAN: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	0	1.10
1	VAN	17	2	1.46
2	SEA	13	0	0.90
2	VAN	14	1	0.82
3	SEA	13	3	2.53
3	VAN	15	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown