Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-03-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 38.6%

FLA: 61.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.85

FLA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.62
1	FLA	18	0	0.75
2	NYI	12	0	0.71
2	FLA	15	0	0.43
3	NYI	17	0	0.81
3	FLA	27	1	2.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1