Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-03-01 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 42.6%

WPG: 57.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.98

WPG: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	24	0	1.17
1	WPG	9	0	0.39
2	SJS	6	0	0.17
2	WPG	11	1	1.19
3	SJS	2	0	0.20
3	WPG	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1