Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-03-01 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 47.1%
WPG: 52.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.14
WPG: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | SJS | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.934 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • SJS at home vs WPG: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2 - 1 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-17 | SJS 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8 - 3 SJS | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:44 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:40 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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