St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-03-01 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 66.7%
STL: 33.3%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.61
STL: 2.35
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | MIN | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.926 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | STL 6 - 3 MIN | STL | MIN |
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1 - 3 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-10-09 | STL 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6 - 4 STL | MIN | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.3
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