St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-01 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 71.6%

STL: 28.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.24

STL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.65
1	STL	15	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0