Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-03-02 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 56.6%
PHI: 43.4%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.04
PHI: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | TOR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | PHI 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-11-01 | PHI 2 - 5 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-03-25 | TOR 7 - 2 PHI | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-07 | PHI 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | PHI |
| 2025-01-05 | TOR 3 - 2 PHI | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-02 at 7:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.