Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 6 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 53.1%

DAL: 46.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.93

DAL: 3.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	VAN
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	DAL
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	1	1.09
1	DAL	12	1	0.82
2	VAN	7	0	0.20
2	DAL	19	0	1.62
3	VAN	4	0	0.14
3	DAL	22	1	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.7