Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-02 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (69% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 30.5%

CAR: 69.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.49

CAR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Stat	SEA	CAR
Season SV%	0.903	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	3.38

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	36	35	1	97.2%	2.50	0	1.50
CAR	Frederik Andersen	15	13	2	86.7%	1.61	0	-0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	SEA 2 - 1 CAR	SEA	CAR
2026-01-10	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR
2024-12-03	CAR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	CAR
2024-10-26	SEA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-10-26	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	7	0.43
1	CAR	19	0.67
2	SEA	12	0.93
2	CAR	19	0.94
3	SEA	5	0.26
3	CAR	19	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown