Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-02 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 41.8%

COL: 58.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.89

COL: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	LAK	COL
Season SV%	0.901	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	39	35	4	89.7%	4.62	3	0.62
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	21	19	2	90.5%	1.40	0	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.38
1	COL	14	0	0.81
2	LAK	10	0	0.42
2	COL	22	0	1.69
3	LAK	15	0	0.60
3	COL	18	3	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown