Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-02 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 52.8%

COL: 47.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.95

COL: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.38
1	COL	14	0	0.81
2	LAK	10	0	0.42
2	COL	22	0	1.69
3	LAK	15	0	0.60
3	COL	18	3	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2