Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 47.4%

PIT: 52.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.69

PIT: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 4.6

Over 5.5: 37%

Over 6.5: 24%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs PIT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	PIT 5 - 4 BOS	PIT	PIT
2026-03-03	BOS 2 - 1 PIT	BOS	PIT
2026-01-11	BOS 1 - 0 PIT	BOS	BOS
2025-04-13	PIT 1 - 4 BOS	BOS	PIT
2025-03-01	PIT 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	PIT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.7 - 3.0