Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NJD: 55.2%

FLA: 44.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.19

FLA: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	1	0.97
1	FLA	17	2	1.86
2	NJD	19	0	1.41
2	FLA	10	1	0.82
3	NJD	17	5	3.47
3	FLA	5	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8