Utah Hockey Club at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 51.4%

UTA: 48.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.34

UTA: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 8.5

Over 5.5: 84%

Over 6.5: 73%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • WSH at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	UTA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	UTA
2026-03-03	WSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WSH
2025-02-09	WSH 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	WSH
2024-11-18	UTA 2 - 6 WSH	WSH	WSH

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5