Utah Hockey Club at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

WSH: 47.3%

UTA: 52.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.26

UTA: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • WSH at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	UTA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	UTA
2026-03-03	WSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-09	WSH 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	WSH
2024-11-18	UTA 2 - 6 WSH	WSH	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	10	1	0.64
1	UTA	14	0	0.75
2	WSH	12	1	1.06
2	UTA	13	0	1.04
3	WSH	17	1	1.01
3	UTA	13	2	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4