Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 65.6%

CHI: 34.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.32

CHI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs CHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	CHI
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	CHI
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	8	0	0.26
1	CHI	12	0	0.67
2	WPG	8	0	0.28
2	CHI	12	0	0.87
3	WPG	24	0	1.66
3	CHI	6	1	0.68
4	WPG	2	0	0.13
4	CHI	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9