Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 54.0%

OTT: 46.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.00

OTT: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 42%

Over 6.5: 29%

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	EDM 5 - 4 OTT	EDM	EDM
2025-10-21	OTT 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	OTT
2024-12-22	EDM 3 - 1 OTT	EDM	EDM
2024-11-19	OTT 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-03-24	OTT 5 - 3 EDM	OTT	OTT

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8