Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2026-03-03 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 39.5%
COL: 60.5%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.87
COL: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | ANA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.963 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | ANA 1 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1 - 2 ANA | ANA | COL |
| 2025-11-11 | COL 4 - 1 ANA | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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