Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-03 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 53.9%

COL: 46.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.13

COL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	1	1.03
1	COL	8	0	0.82
2	ANA	13	0	0.72
2	COL	20	0	1.15
3	ANA	16	1	1.34
3	COL	13	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2