Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-03-04 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 50.5%
TOR: 49.5%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.09
TOR: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | NJD | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 11% • NJD at home vs TOR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | NJD 4 - 3 TOR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-12-30 | TOR 4 - 0 NJD | TOR | NJD |
| 2025-10-21 | TOR 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | TOR |
| 2025-01-16 | TOR 4 - 3 NJD | TOR | NJD |
| 2024-12-10 | NJD 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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