Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2026-03-04 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 35.4%
CAR: 64.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.16
CAR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.818 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | VAN 4 - 6 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-14 | CAR 4 - 3 VAN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-10 | CAR 2 - 0 VAN | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-28 | VAN 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-06 | CAR 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.