Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-04 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VAN: 32.7%

CAR: 67.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.52

CAR: 5.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.29
1	CAR	21	0	1.31
2	VAN	9	1	0.85
2	CAR	16	0	1.25
3	VAN	14	0	0.93
3	CAR	12	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.5 - 5.4